Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 90.831652 103.079257 116.979750 134.053330 154.637319 178.882383 209.945029
2025-04-20 75.588126 91.764182 111.922854 139.405882 176.737599 226.989028 302.160479
2025-04-27 68.680138 87.348754 112.199837 148.790722 203.311967 285.209174 425.661932
2025-05-04 60.732514 79.753404 106.268243 147.540092 213.454351 321.368768 528.779626
2025-05-11 55.438105 74.812143 102.914352 148.860361 227.031809 365.898525 665.037692
2025-05-18 50.394473 69.478089 98.046770 146.655582 233.834854 400.008140 797.045987
2025-05-25 47.016673 66.158079 95.696872 147.960217 246.792397 449.473589 991.765470
2025-06-01 43.824918 62.739929 92.694698 147.521891 256.191635 494.494727 1205.676783
2025-06-08 40.780159 59.232486 89.101018 145.384686 261.628586 532.418135 1428.638528
2025-06-15 39.385260 58.219035 89.530499 150.701260 283.800012 619.340405 1900.872248
2025-06-22 36.305140 54.162640 84.273059 144.244800 278.497229 632.275764 2102.854538
2025-06-29 34.421554 51.956719 82.061042 143.533056 286.360864 685.756911 2555.610689
2025-07-06 32.453311 49.612022 79.655508 142.717267 295.509445 753.212744 3234.289921
2025-07-13 31.482094 48.929809 80.277918 148.536795 323.632004 901.749090 4828.694742
2025-07-20 31.082850 49.201115 82.704942 158.763939 367.324819 1143.312448 8351.932380
2025-07-27 29.452493 47.101319 80.272460 157.399935 377.348106 1257.997729 11419.647291
2025-08-03 28.262519 45.710835 79.100059 158.839902 396.629575 1434.926050 17392.508653
2025-08-10 26.816940 43.731964 76.531286 156.435448 402.907361 1554.732305 24354.127411
2025-08-17 25.840693 42.567798 75.534673 157.858108 422.891789 1776.797552 40988.454298
2025-08-24 24.781645 41.167715 73.904617 157.380086 436.197877 1978.481848 68744.802917
2025-08-31 23.657567 39.566832 71.702029 155.049941 442.045937 2141.332294 112650.455516
2025-09-07 23.239068 39.319174 72.418870 160.848335 482.226736 2640.608786 382477.255269
2025-09-14 21.911858 37.183186 68.770525 153.807564 467.264040 2645.847393 549503.267564